Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 48.1% vs Foligno 49.8% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 69.9%
Defensive zone
Foligno 63.9%
Neutral zone
Eichel 52.2%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Eichel
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Eichel
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
1
0
Eichel
Foligno
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
1
Eichel
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (858)
49.0% (261)
-1.3%
Power Play
55.6% (63)
57.1% (42)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (87)
47.1% (51)
-2.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Eichel is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (700).
Eichel shoots right. Foligno is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (162).
Home / Away
Eichel
Foligno
Home
47.7% (509)
48.9% (178)
Away
48.1% (499)
50.6% (176)
By Period
Eichel
Foligno
P1
49.5%
40.4%
P2
48.5%
55.8%
P3
46.8%
51.2%
OT
37.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.8%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
47.9%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2026 | 3 | 18:41 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 3 | 07:40 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |