Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Eichel on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Eichel wins 43.8% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.9% vs Foligno 52.0% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 85.5%
Defensive zone
Foligno 51.5%
Neutral zone
Foligno 73.4%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 70.9%
29.1%
70.9%
Eichel
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Eichel
Foligno
Last 7: Eichel 5-2 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
4
0
Eichel
Foligno
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
2
Eichel
Foligno
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (730)
53.4% (249)
-7.0%
Power Play
40.3% (62)
53.2% (154)
-12.9%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (116)
40.6% (32)
+1.6%
On power play, Foligno has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Eichel is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (722).
Eichel shoots right. Foligno is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
Eichel
Foligno
Home
44.0% (457)
57.3% (225)
Away
47.0% (451)
47.1% (210)
By Period
Eichel
Foligno
P1
45.1%
53.0%
P2
46.5%
51.8%
P3
45.3%
52.6%
Final 5 min
41.9%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.5%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2024 | 3 | 10:23 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 2 | 01:22 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 3 | 17:42 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 3 | 07:20 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 3 | 06:49 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 2 | 08:23 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 02:21 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |