Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Eichel wins 43.5% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.9% vs Foligno 48.6% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 60.9%
Defensive zone
Foligno 56.3%
Neutral zone
Eichel 50.9%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Eichel
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Eichel
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
1
Eichel
Foligno
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eichel
1
0
Eichel
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (1,044)
48.7% (495)
-2.8%
Power Play
55.9% (59)
56.9% (65)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
39.7% (151)
43.8% (144)
-4.1%
On penalty kill, Foligno has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Eichel is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (913).
Eichel shoots right. Foligno is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (198).
Home / Away
Eichel
Foligno
Home
46.5% (606)
49.6% (359)
Away
44.8% (648)
47.2% (345)
By Period
Eichel
Foligno
P1
47.2%
46.7%
P2
46.9%
52.7%
P3
42.7%
46.7%
OT
42.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
41.4%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.6%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 1 | 19:47 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |