Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on defensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings). Eichel wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.1% vs Foligno 48.6% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Foligno leads 13-11 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Eichel 54.7%
Defensive zone
Eichel 54.7%
Neutral zone
Eichel 56.5%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Eichel
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
13
(24 meetings)
11
13
Eichel
Foligno
Last 10: Eichel 7-3 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
5
3
Eichel
Foligno
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
3
7
Eichel
Foligno
10 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Eichel
Foligno
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (8,462)
48.3% (2,810)
-3.6%
Power Play
52.8% (925)
52.3% (730)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
38.3% (540)
44.0% (455)
-5.7%
On penalty kill, Foligno has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Eichel is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (7,018).
Eichel shoots right. Foligno is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,501).
Home / Away
Eichel
Foligno
Home
45.7% (4,899)
49.9% (2,013)
Away
44.5% (5,028)
47.2% (1,984)
By Period
Eichel
Foligno
P1
45.4%
47.6%
P2
45.8%
50.4%
P3
44.2%
48.3%
OT
44.2%
29.7%
Final 5 min
45.9%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.1%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2026 | 3 | 18:41 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 3 | 07:40 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 1 | 19:47 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 3 | 10:23 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 2 | 01:22 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 3 | 17:42 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 3 | 07:20 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 3 | 06:49 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 2 | 08:23 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 02:21 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 3 | 13:38 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 7, 2019 | OT | 01:38 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 29, 2019 | 3 | 18:55 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 29, 2019 | 3 | 18:47 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 20, 2017 | 2 | 08:33 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 20, 2017 | 2 | 00:24 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 20, 2017 | 2 | 00:18 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 20, 2017 | 1 | 00:33 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 25, 2017 | 3 | 18:36 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |