Scouting Report
Jack Eichel holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Donato on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Eichel wins 43.5% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.9% vs Donato 45.4% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 67.4%
Defensive zone
Eichel 62.2%
Neutral zone
Donato 54.9%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 60.6%
39.4%
60.6%
Eichel
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Eichel
Donato
Last 8: Eichel 3-5 Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Donato
1
4
Eichel
Donato
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Donato
0
1
Eichel
Donato
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eichel
2
0
Eichel
Donato
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (1,044)
43.5% (400)
+2.4%
Power Play
55.9% (59)
48.7% (119)
+7.2%
Penalty Kill
39.7% (151)
33.3% (6)
+6.4%
On power play, Eichel has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Eichel is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (913).
Eichel shoots right. Donato is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
Eichel
Donato
Home
46.5% (606)
50.2% (279)
Away
44.8% (648)
38.2% (246)
By Period
Eichel
Donato
P1
47.2%
44.6%
P2
46.9%
46.6%
P3
42.7%
42.0%
OT
42.9%
60.0%
Final 5 min
41.4%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.6%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2025 | 3 | 18:58 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 3 | 18:17 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 2 | 12:36 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 12:36 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 08:14 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 06:58 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 01:51 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 04:03 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |