Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.1% vs 44.5%). Look for Donato on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Eichel wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.1% vs Donato 44.9% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Donato leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Donato 60.0%
Defensive zone
Eichel 60.7%
Neutral zone
Donato 50.9%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Eichel
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Eichel
Donato
Last 10: Eichel 3-7 Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Donato
2
7
Eichel
Donato
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
3
1
Eichel
Donato
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eichel
2
0
Eichel
Donato
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (8,462)
44.2% (1,179)
+0.5%
Power Play
52.8% (925)
46.3% (246)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
38.3% (540)
36.4% (11)
+1.9%
On power play, Eichel has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Eichel is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (7,018).
Eichel shoots right. Donato is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (547).
Home / Away
Eichel
Donato
Home
45.7% (4,899)
47.2% (743)
Away
44.5% (5,028)
41.6% (693)
By Period
Eichel
Donato
P1
45.4%
43.4%
P2
45.8%
45.1%
P3
44.2%
44.4%
OT
44.2%
70.0%
Final 5 min
45.9%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.1%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 03:33 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 3 | 13:35 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 19:27 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 09:52 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 3 | 18:58 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 3 | 18:17 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 2 | 12:36 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 12:36 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 08:14 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 06:58 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 01:51 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 04:03 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 3 | 13:05 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 08:41 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 15:35 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |