Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.9% vs 47.5%). Look for Donato on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 48.1% vs Donato 48.1% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 53.8%
Defensive zone
Eichel 52.8%
Neutral zone
Eichel 52.2%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Eichel
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Eichel
Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Donato
0
3
Eichel
Donato
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
1
0
Eichel
Donato
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (858)
48.1% (258)
-0.4%
Power Play
55.6% (63)
43.2% (37)
+12.4%
On power play, Eichel has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Eichel is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (700).
Eichel shoots right. Donato is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (126).
Home / Away
Eichel
Donato
Home
47.7% (509)
45.8% (142)
Away
48.1% (499)
49.0% (153)
By Period
Eichel
Donato
P1
49.5%
48.1%
P2
48.5%
46.6%
P3
46.8%
46.8%
OT
37.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
47.9%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 03:33 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 3 | 13:35 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 19:27 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 09:52 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |