Scouting Report
Jack Eichel holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Eichel on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 48.1% vs Thompson 45.3% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 68.5%
Defensive zone
Eichel 68.8%
Neutral zone
Eichel 62.5%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 65.5%
65.5%
34.5%
Eichel
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Eichel
Thompson
Last 6: Eichel 4-2 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Eichel
Thompson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
1
0
Eichel
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eichel
2
1
Eichel
Thompson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (858)
44.9% (642)
+2.8%
Power Play
55.6% (63)
47.9% (94)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (87)
33.3% (33)
+11.5%
On penalty kill, Eichel has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Eichel is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (308).
Eichel shoots right. Thompson is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (220).
Home / Away
Eichel
Thompson
Home
47.7% (509)
46.0% (391)
Away
48.1% (499)
43.4% (378)
By Period
Eichel
Thompson
P1
49.5%
48.1%
P2
48.5%
44.9%
P3
46.8%
41.2%
OT
37.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
52.8%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
47.9%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 03:21 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 03:08 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 17:38 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |