Scouting Report
Jack Eichel holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.9% vs Thompson 43.7% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Thompson 58.7%
Defensive zone
Eichel 56.6%
Neutral zone
Thompson 58.1%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Eichel
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Eichel
Thompson
Last 10: Eichel 4-6 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
3
Eichel
Thompson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
3
1
Eichel
Thompson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
3
Eichel
Thompson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (1,044)
41.9% (597)
+4.0%
Power Play
55.9% (59)
50.5% (95)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
39.7% (151)
25.0% (12)
+14.7%
On penalty kill, Eichel has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Eichel is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Eichel shoots right. Thompson is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (190).
Home / Away
Eichel
Thompson
Home
46.5% (606)
47.1% (367)
Away
44.8% (648)
38.0% (337)
By Period
Eichel
Thompson
P1
47.2%
44.2%
P2
46.9%
41.6%
P3
42.7%
42.9%
OT
42.9%
25.0%
Final 5 min
41.4%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.6%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 19:32 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 17:08 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 02:14 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 2 | 17:57 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 2 | 17:48 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 2 | 06:03 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 1 | 16:21 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 1 | 12:07 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 1 | 06:01 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 1 | 03:38 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |