Scouting Report
Jack Eichel holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Eichel on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Eichel wins 47.0% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.1% vs Thompson 42.8% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Eichel leads 20-15 in 35 meetings
Offensive zone
Eichel 79.6%
Defensive zone
Eichel 64.6%
Neutral zone
Eichel 64.5%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 68.8%
68.8%
31.2%
Eichel
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
15
(35 meetings)
20
15
Eichel
Thompson
Last 10: Eichel 6-4 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
4
6
Eichel
Thompson
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
6
2
Eichel
Thompson
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eichel
10
7
Eichel
Thompson
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (8,462)
42.9% (3,521)
+1.8%
Power Play
52.8% (925)
46.8% (372)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
38.3% (540)
33.6% (265)
+4.7%
On power play, Eichel has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Eichel is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,909).
Eichel shoots right. Thompson is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,147).
Home / Away
Eichel
Thompson
Home
45.7% (4,899)
44.9% (2,115)
Away
44.5% (5,028)
40.3% (2,043)
By Period
Eichel
Thompson
P1
45.4%
44.5%
P2
45.8%
43.6%
P3
44.2%
40.2%
OT
44.2%
36.4%
Final 5 min
45.9%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.1%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 03:21 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 03:08 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 17:38 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 19:32 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 17:08 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 02:14 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 2 | 17:57 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 2 | 17:48 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 2 | 06:03 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 1 | 16:21 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 1 | 12:07 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 1 | 06:01 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 1 | 03:38 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 3 | 06:35 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |