Scouting Report
Jack Eichel holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.9% vs Thompson 44.0% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 53.6%
Defensive zone
Eichel 50.3%
Neutral zone
Eichel 50.8%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Eichel
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Eichel
Thompson
Last 6: Eichel 3-3 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
2
Eichel
Thompson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eichel
2
1
Eichel
Thompson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (730)
44.6% (709)
+1.8%
Power Play
40.3% (62)
41.5% (53)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (116)
35.1% (97)
+7.1%
On penalty kill, Eichel has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Eichel is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Eichel shoots right. Thompson is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (232).
Home / Away
Eichel
Thompson
Home
44.0% (457)
45.5% (426)
Away
47.0% (451)
41.1% (433)
By Period
Eichel
Thompson
P1
45.1%
48.5%
P2
46.5%
43.8%
P3
45.3%
38.1%
OT
28.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
41.9%
37.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.5%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2023 | 3 | 06:35 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 3 | 03:22 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 1 | 12:58 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 1 | 12:54 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |