Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 45 meetings). Eichel wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.1% vs Hertl 54.2% (-9.1%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 72-44 in 116 meetings
Offensive zone
Eichel 87.8%
Defensive zone
Eichel 89.3%
Neutral zone
Eichel 89.0%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 88.6%
88.6%
11.4%
Eichel
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
44
-
72
(116 meetings)
44
72
Eichel
Hertl
Last 10: Eichel 4-6 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
16
29
Eichel
Hertl
45 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
17
23
Eichel
Hertl
40 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
11
20
Eichel
Hertl
31 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (8,462)
53.8% (8,268)
-9.1%
Power Play
52.8% (925)
59.3% (1,975)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
38.3% (540)
46.3% (806)
-8.0%
On even strength, Hertl has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Eichel is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (7,018).
Eichel shoots right. Hertl is 56.8% vs right-shot opponents (4,133).
Home / Away
Eichel
Hertl
Home
45.7% (4,899)
55.7% (5,344)
Away
44.5% (5,028)
52.8% (5,705)
By Period
Eichel
Hertl
P1
45.4%
53.6%
P2
45.8%
54.1%
P3
44.2%
55.3%
OT
44.2%
46.5%
Final 5 min
45.9%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.1%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2023 | 3 | 18:45 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 3 | 18:24 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 3 | 17:27 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 3 | 02:45 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 2 | 10:39 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 2 | 05:55 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 1 | 15:44 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 1 | 15:31 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 1 | 07:35 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 1 | 07:29 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 1 | 00:44 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 1 | 00:29 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 14:58 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 05:01 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 2 | 15:23 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 2 | 12:02 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 2 | 08:09 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 1 | 07:06 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |