Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Eichel wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 48.9% vs Hertl 52.3% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Eichel 76.5%
Defensive zone
Eichel 57.8%
Neutral zone
Eichel 65.1%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 66.4%
66.4%
33.6%
Eichel
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Eichel
Hertl
Last 10: Eichel 4-6 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
2
4
Eichel
Hertl
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
2
5
Eichel
Hertl
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (317)
51.6% (1,084)
-5.2%
Power Play
59.6% (57)
61.0% (246)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
44.1% (136)
+15.9%
On penalty kill, Eichel has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Eichel is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (283).
Eichel shoots right. Hertl is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (526).
Home / Away
Eichel
Hertl
Home
46.2% (169)
55.2% (696)
Away
50.5% (210)
50.0% (770)
By Period
Eichel
Hertl
P1
39.8%
55.4%
P2
49.6%
54.8%
P3
56.2%
48.9%
OT
28.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.5%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
48.5%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 19:19 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 2 | 04:15 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 2 | 03:52 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 2 | 01:11 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 3 | 19:13 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 2 | 16:02 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 1 | 09:19 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 3 | 14:58 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 3 | 14:44 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 3 | 08:52 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 2 | 18:24 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 2 | 15:16 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 1 | 14:03 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |