Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings). Eichel wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.8% vs Hertl 54.5% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 15-7 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Eichel 74.0%
Defensive zone
Eichel 77.5%
Neutral zone
Eichel 73.5%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 75.6%
75.6%
24.4%
Eichel
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
15
(22 meetings)
7
15
Eichel
Hertl
Last 10: Eichel 3-7 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
2
8
Eichel
Hertl
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
4
6
Eichel
Hertl
10 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Eichel
Hertl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (708)
54.1% (1,117)
-8.6%
Power Play
51.9% (54)
59.8% (296)
-7.9%
Penalty Kill
29.0% (31)
34.4% (32)
-5.4%
On even strength, Hertl has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Eichel is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (591).
Eichel shoots right. Hertl is 61.2% vs right-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Eichel
Hertl
Home
46.1% (388)
54.3% (709)
Away
44.4% (405)
55.3% (736)
By Period
Eichel
Hertl
P1
46.8%
51.6%
P2
43.4%
53.6%
P3
45.4%
58.6%
OT
50.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
44.3%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.3%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2023 | 3 | 14:55 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 3 | 06:44 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 2 | 16:19 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 2 | 16:04 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 2 | 15:53 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 2 | 15:25 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 2 | 01:25 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 1 | 11:37 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 1 | 02:33 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 12:54 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 01:54 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 14:37 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 1 | 14:52 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 1 | 09:21 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 1 | 06:18 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 3 | 19:13 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 3 | 01:56 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 2 | 03:23 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 2 | 03:20 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |