Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on neutral-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings). Eichel wins 43.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.9% vs Hertl 56.8% (-12.0%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 21-10 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Eichel 88.1%
Defensive zone
Eichel 88.1%
Neutral zone
Eichel 88.3%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 88.2%
88.2%
11.8%
Eichel
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
21
(31 meetings)
10
21
Eichel
Hertl
Last 10: Eichel 4-6 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
4
9
Eichel
Hertl
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
5
3
Eichel
Hertl
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
9
Eichel
Hertl
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (730)
57.0% (718)
-10.6%
Power Play
40.3% (62)
64.9% (188)
-24.6%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (116)
44.2% (77)
-2.0%
On power play, Hertl has a +24.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Eichel is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (722).
Eichel shoots right. Hertl is 62.5% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Home / Away
Eichel
Hertl
Home
44.0% (457)
59.2% (463)
Away
47.0% (451)
56.0% (520)
By Period
Eichel
Hertl
P1
45.1%
56.3%
P2
46.5%
55.4%
P3
45.3%
60.5%
OT
28.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
41.9%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.5%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2023 | 3 | 18:45 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 3 | 18:24 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 3 | 17:27 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 3 | 02:45 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 2 | 10:39 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 2 | 05:55 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 1 | 15:44 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 1 | 15:31 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 1 | 07:35 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 1 | 07:29 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 1 | 00:44 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 1 | 00:29 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 14:58 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 05:01 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 2 | 15:23 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 2 | 12:02 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 2 | 08:09 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 1 | 07:06 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |