Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +15.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Eichel wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 41.9% vs Hertl 54.9% (-15.0%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 53.5%
Defensive zone
Hertl 57.3%
Neutral zone
Hertl 60.7%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
Eichel
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Eichel
Hertl
Last 10: Eichel 5-5 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
2
Eichel
Hertl
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Eichel
Hertl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eichel
3
2
Eichel
Hertl
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (899)
55.0% (382)
-13.3%
Power Play
37.0% (54)
59.7% (67)
-22.7%
Penalty Kill
25.9% (27)
75.0% (8)
-49.1%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +49.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Eichel is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (643).
Eichel shoots right. Hertl is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Eichel
Hertl
Home
43.6% (489)
58.8% (221)
Away
38.5% (491)
53.4% (236)
By Period
Eichel
Hertl
P1
42.6%
52.6%
P2
40.7%
53.6%
P3
38.9%
62.4%
OT
62.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
41.7%
61.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
41.0%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2016 | 3 | 05:18 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 14, 2015 | 3 | 07:05 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 14, 2015 | 3 | 04:35 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 14, 2015 | 3 | 04:33 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 14, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 14, 2015 | 2 | 19:15 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 14, 2015 | 2 | 15:50 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 14, 2015 | 1 | 13:11 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 14, 2015 | 1 | 01:48 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 14, 2015 | 1 | 00:25 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |