Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. Eichel wins 37.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 40.2% vs Hertl 51.4% (-12.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 63.9%
Defensive zone
Hertl 70.4%
Neutral zone
Hertl 63.8%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 65.2%
34.8%
65.2%
Eichel
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Eichel
Hertl
Last 5: Eichel 3-2 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Eichel
Hertl
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
1
0
Eichel
Hertl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Eichel
Hertl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
38.5% (769)
50.4% (367)
-11.9%
Power Play
60.0% (15)
64.6% (48)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (12)
49.2% (59)
-7.5%
On even strength, Hertl has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Eichel is 37.8% vs left-shot opponents (542).
Eichel shoots right. Hertl is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (214).
Home / Away
Eichel
Hertl
Home
41.2% (417)
50.9% (220)
Away
36.4% (379)
52.4% (254)
By Period
Eichel
Hertl
P1
41.1%
52.7%
P2
39.9%
52.8%
P3
34.5%
49.7%
OT
55.6%
40.0%
Final 5 min
37.7%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
38.9%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2017 | 3 | 10:33 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 2 | 11:47 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 2 | 03:27 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 7, 2017 | OT | 00:26 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 7, 2017 | 3 | 06:07 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |