Scouting Report
Jack Eichel holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Zegras on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Eichel wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 48.9% vs Zegras 41.5% (+8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zegras 82.4%
Defensive zone
Zegras 86.8%
Neutral zone
Zegras 82.9%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 82.8%
17.2%
82.8%
Eichel
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Eichel
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
1
Eichel
Zegras
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
3
Eichel
Zegras
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (317)
39.4% (510)
+7.0%
Power Play
59.6% (57)
47.1% (34)
+12.5%
On power play, Eichel has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Eichel is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (283).
Eichel shoots right. Zegras is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (191).
Home / Away
Eichel
Zegras
Home
46.2% (169)
42.3% (272)
Away
50.5% (210)
37.5% (272)
By Period
Eichel
Zegras
P1
39.8%
37.6%
P2
49.6%
41.5%
P3
56.2%
40.8%
OT
28.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.5%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
48.5%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
39.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2022 | 3 | 06:39 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 3 | 04:52 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 2 | 16:28 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 2 | 00:18 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |