Scouting Report
Jack Eichel holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Zegras on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Eichel wins 43.5% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.9% vs Zegras 41.3% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zegras 50.9%
Defensive zone
Eichel 62.0%
Neutral zone
Zegras 51.6%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Eichel
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Eichel
Zegras
Last 6: Eichel 3-3 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
1
2
Eichel
Zegras
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
1
0
Eichel
Zegras
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Eichel
Zegras
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (1,044)
36.5% (156)
+9.4%
Power Play
55.9% (59)
40.7% (27)
+15.2%
Penalty Kill
39.7% (151)
0.0% (3)
+39.7%
On penalty kill, Eichel has a +39.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Eichel is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (913).
Eichel shoots right. Zegras is 33.3% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Home / Away
Eichel
Zegras
Home
46.5% (606)
38.9% (113)
Away
44.8% (648)
32.9% (73)
By Period
Eichel
Zegras
P1
47.2%
40.0%
P2
46.9%
38.1%
P3
42.7%
31.6%
OT
42.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
41.4%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.6%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
36.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2024 | 3 | 19:46 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 3 | 13:09 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 3 | 11:51 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 1 | 18:06 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 1 | 12:31 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |