Scouting Report
Jack Eichel holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Zegras on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Eichel wins 43.8% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.9% vs Zegras 43.3% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zegras 65.3%
Defensive zone
Eichel 51.3%
Neutral zone
Zegras 65.0%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 60.5%
39.5%
60.5%
Eichel
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Eichel
Zegras
Last 7: Eichel 2-5 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
4
Eichel
Zegras
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
2
0
Eichel
Zegras
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
1
Eichel
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (730)
39.8% (128)
+6.6%
Power Play
40.3% (62)
22.2% (9)
+18.1%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (116)
0.0% (1)
+42.2%
On penalty kill, Eichel has a +42.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Eichel is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (722).
Eichel shoots right. Zegras is 30.6% vs right-shot opponents (36).
Home / Away
Eichel
Zegras
Home
44.0% (457)
29.7% (74)
Away
47.0% (451)
48.4% (64)
By Period
Eichel
Zegras
P1
45.1%
40.7%
P2
46.5%
35.1%
P3
45.3%
41.0%
OT
28.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
41.9%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.5%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
38.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2024 | 2 | 15:30 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Apr 18, 2024 | 1 | 11:06 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 5, 2023 | 1 | 11:57 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 06:53 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 06:47 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 04:32 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 00:38 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |