Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Eichel on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Eichel wins 43.8% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.9% vs Gourde 48.0% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 52.4%
Defensive zone
Gourde 74.9%
Neutral zone
Gourde 61.9%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 58.3%
41.7%
58.3%
Eichel
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Eichel
Gourde
Last 7: Eichel 6-1 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
4
0
Eichel
Gourde
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Eichel
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eichel
2
0
Eichel
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (730)
48.0% (914)
-1.6%
Power Play
40.3% (62)
54.2% (48)
-13.9%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (116)
43.9% (123)
-1.7%
On power play, Gourde has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Eichel is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (722).
Eichel shoots right. Gourde is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Eichel
Gourde
Home
44.0% (457)
50.2% (512)
Away
47.0% (451)
45.7% (573)
By Period
Eichel
Gourde
P1
45.1%
50.0%
P2
46.5%
45.3%
P3
45.3%
48.6%
OT
28.6%
20.0%
Final 5 min
41.9%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.5%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2024 | 3 | 13:29 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 2 | 16:16 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 2 | 10:47 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 07:32 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 1, 2024 | 3 | 10:09 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 1, 2024 | 3 | 09:54 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 10, 2023 | 3 | 00:19 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |