Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Eichel on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings). Eichel wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.1% vs Gourde 48.2% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Eichel leads 13-12 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Eichel 61.1%
Defensive zone
Gourde 65.1%
Neutral zone
Gourde 59.3%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Eichel
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
12
(25 meetings)
13
12
Eichel
Gourde
Last 10: Eichel 9-1 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
8
2
Eichel
Gourde
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
7
Eichel
Gourde
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eichel
4
3
Eichel
Gourde
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (8,462)
48.4% (4,954)
-3.7%
Power Play
52.8% (925)
57.4% (376)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
38.3% (540)
39.9% (554)
-1.6%
On power play, Gourde has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Eichel is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (7,018).
Eichel shoots right. Gourde is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,937).
Home / Away
Eichel
Gourde
Home
45.7% (4,899)
49.3% (2,915)
Away
44.5% (5,028)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Eichel
Gourde
P1
45.4%
49.9%
P2
45.8%
47.4%
P3
44.2%
47.5%
OT
44.2%
37.0%
Final 5 min
45.9%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.1%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 07:17 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 1 | 08:40 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 3 | 13:29 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 2 | 16:16 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 2 | 10:47 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 07:32 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 1, 2024 | 3 | 10:09 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 1, 2024 | 3 | 09:54 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 10, 2023 | 3 | 00:19 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 16:10 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 00:45 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 00:23 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 19:33 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 05:25 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 10:45 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 19:43 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 10:58 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 3 | 07:03 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 3 | 03:39 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 2 | 04:19 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |