Scouting Report
Jack Eichel holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 48.1% vs Gourde 46.0% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 75.5%
Defensive zone
Gourde 58.8%
Neutral zone
Eichel 53.7%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 75.5%
75.5%
24.5%
Eichel
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Eichel
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
1
0
Eichel
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (858)
47.2% (654)
+0.5%
Power Play
55.6% (63)
45.0% (20)
+10.6%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (87)
32.2% (87)
+12.6%
On penalty kill, Eichel has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Eichel is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (700).
Eichel shoots right. Gourde is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (259).
Home / Away
Eichel
Gourde
Home
47.7% (509)
44.1% (322)
Away
48.1% (499)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Eichel
Gourde
P1
49.5%
42.4%
P2
48.5%
49.8%
P3
46.8%
44.3%
OT
37.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
47.9%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 07:17 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |