Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +18.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Barkov on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Barkov wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.0% vs Hughes 39.2% (+18.9%)
H2H factor
Barkov leads 10-0 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Barkov 92.0%
Defensive zone
Barkov 91.7%
Neutral zone
Barkov 92.5%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 92.2%
92.2%
7.8%
Barkov
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
0
(10 meetings)
10
0
Barkov
Hughes
Last 10: Barkov 10-0 Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
1
0
Barkov
Hughes
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
3
0
Barkov
Hughes
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barkov
6
0
Barkov
Hughes
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (704)
37.9% (623)
+17.6%
Power Play
62.3% (247)
33.3% (33)
+29.0%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (75)
36.4% (11)
+10.3%
On power play, Barkov has a +29.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Barkov is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Barkov shoots left. Hughes is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Barkov
Hughes
Home
56.4% (550)
36.6% (314)
Away
56.7% (476)
38.5% (353)
By Period
Barkov
Hughes
P1
56.5%
36.4%
P2
55.5%
35.6%
P3
57.9%
41.8%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
58.7%
36.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
56.5%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 19:39 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 15:41 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 15:37 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 2 | 05:56 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 1 | 00:21 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 3 | 13:30 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 3 | 06:50 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 08:41 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 06:12 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 1 | 00:44 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |