Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +14.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 50.1% vs Hughes 39.8% (+14.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 90.0%
Defensive zone
Jenner 95.2%
Neutral zone
Jenner 84.6%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 92.1%
92.1%
7.9%
Jenner
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Jenner
Hughes
Last 5: Jenner 5-0 Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
3
0
Jenner
Hughes
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
2
0
Jenner
Hughes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (227)
36.8% (266)
+13.0%
Power Play
52.2% (23)
14.3% (7)
+37.9%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (17)
33.3% (6)
+19.6%
On power play, Jenner has a +37.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Jenner is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (186).
Jenner shoots left. Hughes is 33.9% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Home / Away
Jenner
Hughes
Home
51.0% (143)
35.1% (148)
Away
49.2% (124)
37.4% (131)
By Period
Jenner
Hughes
P1
51.7%
43.0%
P2
40.5%
28.7%
P3
57.3%
35.2%
Final 5 min
52.1%
28.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
50.2%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 08:07 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 19:18 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 19:09 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 04:59 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 04:56 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |