Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +19.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Jenner wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 54.7% vs Hughes 38.6% (+19.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 66.5%
Defensive zone
Jenner 96.4%
Neutral zone
Jenner 92.6%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 88.1%
88.1%
11.9%
Jenner
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Jenner
Hughes
Last 5: Jenner 4-1 Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
0
1
Jenner
Hughes
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
Hughes
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
3
0
Jenner
Hughes
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (861)
35.6% (362)
+21.7%
Power Play
52.6% (135)
38.5% (91)
+14.1%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (170)
33.3% (9)
+13.2%
On even strength, Jenner has a +21.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Jenner is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (757).
Jenner shoots left. Hughes is 35.0% vs left-shot opponents (277).
Home / Away
Jenner
Hughes
Home
54.8% (586)
37.6% (255)
Away
55.5% (580)
34.3% (207)
By Period
Jenner
Hughes
P1
57.3%
28.5%
P2
52.5%
39.2%
P3
55.9%
40.8%
OT
54.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
55.1%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2020 | 2 | 12:14 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 2 | 11:58 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 3 | 14:47 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 1 | 10:34 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 1 | 05:48 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |