Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Howden on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 47.6% vs Hughes 37.4% (+11.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 64.7%
Defensive zone
Howden 92.0%
Neutral zone
Howden 87.5%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 80.4%
80.4%
19.6%
Howden
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Howden
Hughes
Last 9: Howden 7-2 Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Howden
3
0
Howden
Hughes
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
1
0
Howden
Hughes
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
3
2
Howden
Hughes
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (191)
35.7% (569)
+14.0%
Power Play
42.9% (14)
33.3% (36)
+9.6%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (48)
16.7% (6)
+18.7%
On penalty kill, Howden has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Howden is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (157).
Howden shoots left. Hughes is 31.1% vs left-shot opponents (305).
Home / Away
Howden
Hughes
Home
42.8% (138)
37.8% (333)
Away
51.3% (115)
32.4% (278)
By Period
Howden
Hughes
P1
47.9%
38.8%
P2
49.4%
28.3%
P3
43.3%
38.6%
Final 5 min
45.7%
31.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
46.6%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
35.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2021 | 3 | 08:38 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 3 | 06:32 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 3 | 03:13 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 1 | 04:12 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 3 | 19:19 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 3 | 15:25 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 2 | 08:28 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 1 | 10:28 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Feb 16, 2021 | 2 | 00:25 | Neutral | Brett Howden |