Scouting Report
Connor Zary holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Zary wins 41.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zary 42.6% vs Hughes 36.6% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 66.8%
Defensive zone
Hughes 56.9%
Neutral zone
Hughes 61.2%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 61.2%
38.8%
61.2%
Zary
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Zary
Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hughes
0
1
Zary
Hughes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zary
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (447)
36.0% (2,887)
+5.8%
Power Play
36.2% (58)
38.8% (224)
-2.6%
On even strength, Zary has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Zary is 41.0% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Zary shoots left. Hughes is 34.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,931).
Home / Away
Zary
Hughes
Home
41.3% (293)
36.8% (1,670)
Away
41.0% (212)
35.4% (1,483)
By Period
Zary
Hughes
P1
40.4%
36.9%
P2
38.6%
33.6%
P3
45.2%
38.1%
OT
0.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
34.6%
34.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
50.0%▲
46.0%
41.2%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2024 | 1 | 03:23 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |