Scouting Report
Evan Rodrigues holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Hughes on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Rodrigues wins 42.1% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 45.6% vs Hughes 37.4% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Hughes leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Hughes 73.5%
Defensive zone
Hughes 60.7%
Neutral zone
Hughes 66.9%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 68.3%
31.7%
68.3%
Rodrigues
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
9
(15 meetings)
6
9
Rodrigues
Hughes
Last 10: Rodrigues 3-7 Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
2
5
Rodrigues
Hughes
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Rodrigues
Hughes
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Rodrigues
Hughes
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
43.0% (100)
35.7% (569)
+7.3%
Power Play
23.1% (13)
33.3% (36)
-10.2%
Penalty Kill
53.3% (15)
16.7% (6)
+36.6%
On penalty kill, Rodrigues has a +36.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Rodrigues is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (76).
Rodrigues shoots right. Hughes is 39.5% vs right-shot opponents (306).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Hughes
Home
44.0% (75)
37.8% (333)
Away
39.6% (53)
32.4% (278)
By Period
Rodrigues
Hughes
P1
48.6%
38.8%
P2
38.3%
28.3%
P3
41.9%
38.6%
Final 5 min
48.5%
31.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
42.2%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
35.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2021 | 3 | 06:34 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 2 | 15:48 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 2 | 04:30 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 2 | 04:19 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Apr 11, 2021 | 3 | 12:03 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 2 | 05:02 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 21, 2021 | 2 | 18:38 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 00:51 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 1 | 15:44 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 1 | 07:41 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 1 | 07:29 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 1 | 00:57 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 3 | 05:30 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 2 | 03:10 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 1 | 09:48 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |