Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +22.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Hughes wins 35.7% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 38.0% vs Carter 56.4% (-22.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 87.5%
Defensive zone
Hughes 75.3%
Neutral zone
Hughes 88.6%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 84.6%
84.6%
15.4%
Hughes
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Hughes
Carter
Last 7: Hughes 1-6 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
1
0
Hughes
Carter
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
2
Hughes
Carter
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
0
4
Hughes
Carter
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
34.5% (342)
57.9% (885)
-23.4%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
61.7% (133)
-18.8%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
45.4% (119)
-20.4%
On even strength, Carter has a +23.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Hughes is 35.7% vs right-shot opponents (143).
Hughes shoots left. Carter is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Home / Away
Hughes
Carter
Home
32.6% (187)
58.2% (543)
Away
36.7% (166)
55.9% (594)
By Period
Hughes
Carter
P1
33.9%
57.5%
P2
34.2%
57.1%
P3
36.5%
55.8%
OT
0.0%
68.2%
Final 5 min
29.7%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
34.6%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2022 | 2 | 15:08 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 2 | 08:48 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 3 | 00:36 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 1 | 00:41 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 19, 2021 | 3 | 12:36 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 19, 2021 | 3 | 10:30 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 19, 2021 | 2 | 16:15 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |