Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +24.1% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 35.2% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 37.9% vs Carter 58.5% (-24.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 77.9%
Defensive zone
Carter 90.4%
Neutral zone
Carter 54.7%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Hughes
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Hughes
Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
1
0
Hughes
Carter
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Hughes
Carter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
34.9% (444)
59.7% (727)
-24.8%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
68.1% (72)
-18.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
53.2% (139)
-19.9%
On even strength, Carter has a +24.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Hughes is 35.2% vs right-shot opponents (179).
Hughes shoots left. Carter is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (640).
Home / Away
Hughes
Carter
Home
37.4% (235)
58.7% (455)
Away
33.2% (229)
60.0% (483)
By Period
Hughes
Carter
P1
37.1%
61.3%
P2
33.7%
57.1%
P3
34.8%
59.8%
OT
100.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
32.7%
60.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
35.3%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2023 | 2 | 14:10 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 2 | 05:54 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |