Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +17.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Hughes wins 38.1% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 36.6% vs Carter 53.2% (-17.1%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 16-6 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Hughes 93.7%
Defensive zone
Hughes 96.6%
Neutral zone
Hughes 96.2%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 95.5%
95.5%
4.5%
Hughes
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
16
(22 meetings)
6
16
Hughes
Carter
Last 10: Hughes 3-7 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
6
1
Hughes
Carter
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
7
Hughes
Carter
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
0
8
Hughes
Carter
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
36.0% (2,887)
53.3% (8,728)
-17.3%
Power Play
38.8% (224)
57.3% (1,554)
-18.5%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (42)
46.3% (1,087)
-15.3%
On power play, Carter has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Hughes is 38.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,222).
Hughes shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Home / Away
Hughes
Carter
Home
36.8% (1,670)
54.7% (5,752)
Away
35.4% (1,483)
51.6% (5,632)
By Period
Hughes
Carter
P1
36.9%
53.6%
P2
33.6%
52.8%
P3
38.1%
53.1%
OT
37.5%
56.5%
Final 5 min
34.2%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.1%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2023 | 2 | 14:10 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 2 | 05:54 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 2 | 15:08 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 2 | 08:48 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 3 | 00:36 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 1 | 00:41 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 19, 2021 | 3 | 12:36 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 19, 2021 | 3 | 10:30 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 19, 2021 | 2 | 16:15 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 07:20 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 07:08 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 07:07 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 1 | 03:43 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 3 | 17:55 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 1 | 17:46 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 1 | 00:41 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 2 | 09:07 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 2 | 01:25 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 2 | 15:15 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 2 | 06:12 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |