Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +18.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hughes on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hughes wins 35.0% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 38.6% vs Staal 54.1% (-18.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 75.5%
Defensive zone
Staal 85.7%
Neutral zone
Staal 66.9%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Hughes
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Hughes
Staal
Last 6: Hughes 3-3 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
2
1
Hughes
Staal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
2
Hughes
Staal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hughes
1
0
Hughes
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
35.6% (362)
54.2% (943)
-18.6%
Power Play
38.5% (91)
69.6% (79)
-31.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (9)
50.8% (262)
-17.5%
On power play, Staal has a +31.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Hughes is 35.0% vs left-shot opponents (277).
Hughes shoots left. Staal is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (832).
Home / Away
Hughes
Staal
Home
37.6% (255)
55.0% (593)
Away
34.3% (207)
54.0% (691)
By Period
Hughes
Staal
P1
28.5%
54.3%
P2
39.2%
53.5%
P3
40.8%
55.2%
OT
50.0%
58.6%
Final 5 min
39.3%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.1%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2020 | 1 | 11:23 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Feb 14, 2020 | 1 | 11:19 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 3 | 10:03 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 2 | 11:17 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 1 | 18:28 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 1 | 09:52 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |