Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +20.4% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 35.4% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 37.9% vs Staal 55.3% (-20.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 84.3%
Defensive zone
Staal 71.2%
Neutral zone
Hughes 74.0%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 56.6%
56.6%
43.4%
Hughes
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Hughes
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Hughes
Staal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Hughes
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
34.9% (444)
56.3% (1,115)
-21.4%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
61.2% (67)
-11.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
52.1% (292)
-18.8%
On even strength, Staal has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Hughes is 35.4% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Hughes shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Home / Away
Hughes
Staal
Home
37.4% (235)
58.3% (705)
Away
33.2% (229)
53.3% (769)
By Period
Hughes
Staal
P1
37.1%
54.5%
P2
33.7%
58.2%
P3
34.8%
54.1%
OT
100.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
32.7%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
35.3%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2023 | 3 | 17:17 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 3 | 06:03 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |