Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +22.7% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 33.8% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 38.0% vs Staal 56.8% (-22.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 76.2%
Defensive zone
Hughes 55.1%
Neutral zone
Hughes 73.2%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 61.1%
61.1%
38.9%
Hughes
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Hughes
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
2
Hughes
Staal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Hughes
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
34.5% (342)
58.9% (1,041)
-24.4%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
53.4% (73)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
49.1% (171)
-24.1%
On even strength, Staal has a +24.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Hughes is 33.8% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Hughes shoots left. Staal is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Home / Away
Hughes
Staal
Home
32.6% (187)
59.0% (578)
Away
36.7% (166)
55.9% (707)
By Period
Hughes
Staal
P1
33.9%
57.1%
P2
34.2%
60.9%
P3
36.5%
55.8%
OT
0.0%
20.8%
Final 5 min
29.7%
60.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
34.6%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2022 | 3 | 09:23 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 1 | 12:53 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 1 | 10:23 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |