Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +18.7% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 33.9% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.8% vs Staal 54.6% (-18.7%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 51.7%
Defensive zone
Staal 83.4%
Neutral zone
Staal 51.4%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 61.0%
39.0%
61.0%
Hughes
Staal
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
36.8% (266)
56.1% (955)
-19.3%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
66.9% (142)
-52.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
43.0% (242)
-9.7%
On power play, Staal has a +52.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Hughes is 33.9% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Hughes shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Home / Away
Hughes
Staal
Home
35.1% (148)
55.4% (663)
Away
37.4% (131)
54.4% (676)
By Period
Hughes
Staal
P1
43.0%
55.1%
P2
28.7%
54.7%
P3
35.2%
53.9%
Final 5 min
28.6%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.2%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.9%