Scouting Report
Jack Hughes holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 35.0% vs left-shot opponents — Carlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 40.3% vs Carlsson 37.1% (+2.4%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 72.7%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 70.6%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 55.5%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Hughes
Carlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
35.6% (281)
34.4% (535)
+1.2%
Power Play
50.0% (36)
42.9% (21)
+7.1%
On power play, Hughes has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Hughes is 35.0% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Hughes shoots left. Carlsson is 35.3% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Home / Away
Hughes
Carlsson
Home
38.4% (198)
38.6% (254)
Away
35.3% (119)
31.6% (307)
By Period
Hughes
Carlsson
P1
44.3%
35.9%
P2
34.2%
33.8%
P3
34.0%
34.3%
Final 5 min
40.4%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.2%
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
34.8%