Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (34.6% vs 34.3%). Hughes wins 33.8% vs left-shot opponents — Gregor shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 38.0% vs Gregor 45.9% (+0.3%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 58.1%
Defensive zone
Gregor 56.4%
Neutral zone
Gregor 51.2%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Hughes
Gregor
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Gregor
Edge
Even Strength
34.5% (342)
33.3% (33)
+1.2%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
50.0% (2)
-7.1%
On power play, Gregor has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gregor shoots left. Hughes is 33.8% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Hughes shoots left. Gregor is 34.8% vs left-shot opponents (23).
Home / Away
Hughes
Gregor
Home
32.6% (187)
33.3% (15)
Away
36.7% (166)
35.0% (20)
By Period
Hughes
Gregor
P1
33.9%
33.3%
P2
34.2%
33.3%
P3
36.5%
35.7%
Final 5 min
29.7%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
34.6%
Gregor
48.0%▲
36.0%
34.3%