Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (36.1% vs 35.7%). Hughes wins 34.9% vs left-shot opponents — Gregor shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 36.6% vs Gregor 40.3% (+0.4%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 67.1%
Defensive zone
Gregor 61.6%
Neutral zone
Gregor 53.4%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Hughes
Gregor
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Gregor
Edge
Even Strength
36.0% (2,887)
36.7% (196)
-0.7%
Power Play
38.8% (224)
23.1% (13)
+15.7%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (42)
0.0% (1)
+31.0%
On penalty kill, Hughes has a +31.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gregor shoots left. Hughes is 34.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,931).
Hughes shoots left. Gregor is 34.1% vs left-shot opponents (123).
Home / Away
Hughes
Gregor
Home
36.8% (1,670)
35.4% (113)
Away
35.4% (1,483)
36.1% (97)
By Period
Hughes
Gregor
P1
36.9%
36.9%
P2
33.6%
28.4%
P3
38.1%
44.4%
OT
37.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
34.2%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.1%
Gregor
48.0%▲
36.0%
35.7%