Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (36.2% vs 36.4%). Hughes wins 33.9% vs left-shot opponents — Gregor shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.8% vs Gregor 46.6% (-0.2%)
Offensive zone
Gregor 51.1%
Defensive zone
Gregor 63.3%
Neutral zone
Hughes 53.7%
Result
Noah Gregor favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Hughes
Gregor
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Gregor
Edge
Even Strength
36.8% (266)
37.5% (32)
-0.7%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
0.0% (1)
+14.3%
On power play, Hughes has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gregor shoots left. Hughes is 33.9% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Hughes shoots left. Gregor is 34.8% vs left-shot opponents (23).
Home / Away
Hughes
Gregor
Home
35.1% (148)
37.5% (24)
Away
37.4% (131)
33.3% (9)
By Period
Hughes
Gregor
P1
43.0%
45.5%
P2
28.7%
23.1%
P3
35.2%
44.4%
Final 5 min
28.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.2%
Gregor
48.0%▲
36.0%
36.4%