Scouting Report
Pontus Holmberg holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 35.4% vs left-shot opponents — Holmberg shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 37.9% vs Holmberg 44.8% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 52.4%
Defensive zone
Holmberg 84.8%
Neutral zone
Holmberg 58.7%
Result
Pontus Holmberg favored at 58.7%
41.3%
58.7%
Hughes
Holmberg
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Hughes
Holmberg
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hughes
1
0
Hughes
Holmberg
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Holmberg
Edge
Even Strength
34.9% (444)
42.5% (207)
-7.6%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
40.0% (10)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
50.0% (2)
-16.7%
On penalty kill, Holmberg has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holmberg shoots left. Hughes is 35.4% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Hughes shoots left. Holmberg is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (145).
Home / Away
Hughes
Holmberg
Home
37.4% (235)
40.9% (127)
Away
33.2% (229)
44.6% (92)
By Period
Hughes
Holmberg
P1
37.1%
47.8%
P2
33.7%
43.8%
P3
34.8%
37.2%
Final 5 min
32.7%
34.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
35.3%
Holmberg
40.0%▼
46.5%
42.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2023 | 1 | 02:49 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |