Jack Hughes vs Pontus Holmberg

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Pontus Holmberg holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 33.9% vs left-shot opponents — Holmberg shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Hughes 39.8% vs Holmberg 46.6% (-3.4%)
Offensive zone Hughes 53.7%
Defensive zone Holmberg 63.8%
Neutral zone Hughes 50.0%
Result Pontus Holmberg favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Hughes Holmberg
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Hughes
Holmberg
Edge
Even Strength
36.8% (266)
39.1% (46)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
50.0% (2)
-16.7%
On penalty kill, Holmberg has a +16.7% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Holmberg shoots left. Hughes is 33.9% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Hughes shoots left. Holmberg is 38.9% vs left-shot opponents (36).
Home / Away
Hughes
Holmberg
Home
35.1% (148)
37.5% (32)
Away
37.4% (131)
43.8% (16)
By Period
Hughes
Holmberg
P1
43.0%
71.4%
P2
28.7%
21.1%
P3
35.2%
33.3%
Final 5 min
28.6%
41.7%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%
36.0%
36.2%
Holmberg
40.0%
46.5%
39.6%