Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +13.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hughes on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Hughes wins 35.0% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 40.3% vs McLeod 50.7% (-13.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 65.1%
Defensive zone
McLeod 91.5%
Neutral zone
McLeod 85.6%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 83.2%
16.8%
83.2%
Hughes
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Hughes
McLeod
Last 6: Hughes 4-2 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Hughes
McLeod
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Hughes
McLeod
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hughes
4
0
Hughes
McLeod
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
35.6% (281)
51.3% (628)
-15.7%
Power Play
50.0% (36)
68.3% (41)
-18.3%
On power play, McLeod has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Hughes is 35.0% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Hughes shoots left. McLeod is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (507).
Home / Away
Hughes
McLeod
Home
38.4% (198)
51.5% (394)
Away
35.3% (119)
50.0% (324)
By Period
Hughes
McLeod
P1
44.3%
51.5%
P2
34.2%
47.0%
P3
34.0%
54.3%
Final 5 min
40.4%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.2%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 17:18 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 11:19 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 02:48 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 3 | 04:53 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 2 | 14:20 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |