Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 33.9% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.8% vs McLeod 47.8% (-11.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 83.4%
Defensive zone
McLeod 50.2%
Neutral zone
Hughes 72.8%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 65.1%
65.1%
34.9%
Hughes
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Hughes
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Hughes
McLeod
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
2
Hughes
McLeod
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
36.8% (266)
49.2% (796)
-12.4%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
44.8% (87)
-30.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
43.3% (263)
-10.0%
On power play, McLeod has a +30.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Hughes is 33.9% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Hughes shoots left. McLeod is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (748).
Home / Away
Hughes
McLeod
Home
35.1% (148)
49.2% (575)
Away
37.4% (131)
45.9% (571)
By Period
Hughes
McLeod
P1
43.0%
52.8%
P2
28.7%
45.1%
P3
35.2%
45.6%
Final 5 min
28.6%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.2%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 04:23 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 01:08 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 01:02 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |