Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +13.5% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Hughes wins 34.9% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 36.6% vs McLeod 49.6% (-13.5%)
H2H factor
McLeod leads 13-6 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Hughes 91.6%
Defensive zone
Hughes 68.7%
Neutral zone
Hughes 88.8%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 79.5%
79.5%
20.5%
Hughes
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
13
(19 meetings)
6
13
Hughes
McLeod
Last 10: Hughes 1-9 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hughes
McLeod
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
8
Hughes
McLeod
9 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Hughes
McLeod
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
36.0% (2,887)
50.4% (3,345)
-14.4%
Power Play
38.8% (224)
51.0% (292)
-12.2%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (42)
44.3% (635)
-13.3%
On even strength, McLeod has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Hughes is 34.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,931).
Hughes shoots left. McLeod is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
Home / Away
Hughes
McLeod
Home
36.8% (1,670)
50.2% (2,158)
Away
35.4% (1,483)
48.9% (2,114)
By Period
Hughes
McLeod
P1
36.9%
50.8%
P2
33.6%
48.4%
P3
38.1%
50.0%
OT
37.5%
37.1%
Final 5 min
34.2%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.1%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 04:23 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 01:08 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 01:02 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 15:25 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 11:43 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 2 | 14:35 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 2 | 02:19 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 1 | 17:48 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 4, 2024 | 3 | 12:38 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 4, 2024 | 3 | 12:31 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 4, 2024 | 3 | 10:16 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 4, 2024 | 3 | 08:01 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 17:18 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 11:19 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 02:48 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 3 | 04:53 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 2 | 14:20 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 1 | 03:13 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |