Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +17.7% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 35.4% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 37.9% vs Crosby 52.8% (-17.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 58.3%
Defensive zone
Crosby 54.0%
Neutral zone
Hughes 56.7%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Hughes
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Hughes
Crosby
Last 5: Hughes 2-3 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
2
0
Hughes
Crosby
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
2
Hughes
Crosby
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Hughes
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
34.9% (444)
52.5% (1,443)
-17.6%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
54.7% (369)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
55.9% (34)
-22.6%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +22.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Hughes is 35.4% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Hughes shoots left. Crosby is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,199).
Home / Away
Hughes
Crosby
Home
37.4% (235)
53.0% (931)
Away
33.2% (229)
53.0% (915)
By Period
Hughes
Crosby
P1
37.1%
50.3%
P2
33.7%
55.4%
P3
34.8%
53.3%
OT
100.0%
47.4%
Final 5 min
32.7%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
35.3%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 09:58 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 09:52 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 1 | 06:08 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 1 | 05:58 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 2 | 16:52 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |