Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +19.7% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 33.9% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.8% vs Crosby 55.5% (-19.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 91.6%
Defensive zone
Crosby 88.2%
Neutral zone
Crosby 80.3%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 84.2%
15.8%
84.2%
Hughes
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Hughes
Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
1
0
Hughes
Crosby
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hughes
1
0
Hughes
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
36.8% (266)
53.7% (984)
-16.9%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
64.7% (241)
-50.4%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
64.3% (14)
-31.0%
On power play, Crosby has a +50.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Hughes is 33.9% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Hughes shoots left. Crosby is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (879).
Home / Away
Hughes
Crosby
Home
35.1% (148)
56.9% (649)
Away
37.4% (131)
54.9% (590)
By Period
Hughes
Crosby
P1
43.0%
55.8%
P2
28.7%
53.2%
P3
35.2%
58.7%
Final 5 min
28.6%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.2%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 12:06 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 14:59 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |