Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +19.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hughes on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Hughes wins 37.9% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.2% vs Crosby 56.6% (-19.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 73.5%
Defensive zone
Crosby 79.3%
Neutral zone
Crosby 80.7%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 76.1%
23.9%
76.1%
Hughes
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Hughes
Crosby
Last 9: Hughes 5-4 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
3
2
Hughes
Crosby
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Hughes
Crosby
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (623)
56.2% (1,451)
-18.3%
Power Play
33.3% (33)
61.4% (293)
-28.1%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (11)
55.3% (38)
-18.9%
On power play, Crosby has a +28.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Hughes is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Hughes shoots left. Crosby is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,164).
Home / Away
Hughes
Crosby
Home
36.6% (314)
59.1% (939)
Away
38.5% (353)
54.7% (843)
By Period
Hughes
Crosby
P1
36.4%
54.9%
P2
35.6%
60.8%
P3
41.8%
55.4%
OT
0.0%
53.6%
Final 5 min
36.4%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.6%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 16:20 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 16:46 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 10:34 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 09:10 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 09:04 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 08:56 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 17:55 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 14:41 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 04:37 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |