Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +17.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Hughes wins 38.1% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 36.6% vs Seguin 53.6% (-17.5%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 9-1 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Hughes 89.9%
Defensive zone
Hughes 90.2%
Neutral zone
Hughes 88.3%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 89.8%
89.8%
10.2%
Hughes
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
9
(10 meetings)
1
9
Hughes
Seguin
Last 10: Hughes 1-9 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hughes
Seguin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
6
Hughes
Seguin
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
2
Hughes
Seguin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
36.0% (2,887)
53.7% (8,071)
-17.7%
Power Play
38.8% (224)
55.9% (810)
-17.1%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (42)
49.3% (762)
-18.3%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Hughes is 38.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,222).
Hughes shoots left. Seguin is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (6,798).
Home / Away
Hughes
Seguin
Home
36.8% (1,670)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
35.4% (1,483)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Hughes
Seguin
P1
36.9%
52.8%
P2
33.6%
53.3%
P3
38.1%
54.7%
OT
37.5%
54.7%
Final 5 min
34.2%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.1%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2023 | 1 | 17:05 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3 | 15:00 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 17:26 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 11:47 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 3 | 06:57 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 3 | 06:42 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 3 | 01:25 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 2 | 16:14 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 2 | 07:56 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 3 | 14:06 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |