Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +21.4% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 35.7% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 38.0% vs Seguin 55.4% (-21.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 83.9%
Defensive zone
Hughes 75.7%
Neutral zone
Hughes 85.9%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 81.4%
81.4%
18.6%
Hughes
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Hughes
Seguin
Last 5: Hughes 0-5 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Hughes
Seguin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
2
Hughes
Seguin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
2
Hughes
Seguin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
34.5% (342)
56.5% (712)
-22.0%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
59.7% (67)
-16.8%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
44.9% (49)
-19.9%
On even strength, Seguin has a +22.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Hughes is 35.7% vs right-shot opponents (143).
Hughes shoots left. Seguin is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Home / Away
Hughes
Seguin
Home
32.6% (187)
58.5% (402)
Away
36.7% (166)
53.8% (426)
By Period
Hughes
Seguin
P1
33.9%
58.4%
P2
34.2%
54.7%
P3
36.5%
54.1%
OT
0.0%
72.7%
Final 5 min
29.7%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
34.6%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2022 | 3 | 06:57 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 3 | 06:42 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 3 | 01:25 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 2 | 16:14 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 2 | 07:56 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |